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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
NORTHWICH VICTORIA vs. MORECAMBE
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Northwich Victoria's and Morecambe's ELO scores.
| Northwich Victoria | Morecambe | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 2902.3 | 3466.2 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3739.3 Saturday, December 3, 1892 |
3611.3 Tuesday, September 28, 2021 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2722.3 Saturday, April 16, 2011 |
3338.9 Tuesday, September 12, 1995 |
A summary of all historical matches between Northwich Victoria and Morecambe.
| Venue | Played | Northwich Victoria wins |
Draws | Morecambe wins |
Northwich Victoria goals |
Morecambe goals |
Northwich Victoria SR% |
Morecambe SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 45 | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| HOME | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| AWAY | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 12.5% | 87.5% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 MAR 2007 | CONF | Morecambe (3449) |
2 - 1 | Northwich Victoria (3315) |
5.1 |
| 15 AUG 2006 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3355) |
0 - 2 | Morecambe (3481) |
11.8 |
| 5 NOV 2005 | CUP | Morecambe (3502) |
1 - 3 | Northwich Victoria (3362) |
11.3 |
| 18 DEC 2004 | CONF | Morecambe (3441) |
3 - 1 | Northwich Victoria (3283) |
6.6 |
| 11 SEP 2004 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3211) |
2 - 2 | Morecambe (3430) |
4.3 |
| 7 FEB 2004 | CONF | Morecambe (3465) |
3 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3202) |
4.8 |
| 20 SEP 2003 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3304) |
1 - 1 | Morecambe (3534) |
4.6 |
| 1 MAR 2003 | CONF | Morecambe (3497) |
3 - 1 | Northwich Victoria (3338) |
6.5 |
| 19 SEP 2002 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3358) |
3 - 2 | Morecambe (3419) |
9.9 |
| 29 JAN 2002 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3363) |
4 - 3 | Morecambe (3408) |
9.4 |
| 4 SEP 2001 | CONF | Morecambe (3379) |
2 - 1 | Northwich Victoria (3390) |
8.4 |
| 6 MAR 2001 | CONF | Morecambe (3460) |
4 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3356) |
10.2 |
| 26 AUG 2000 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3326) |
1 - 0 | Morecambe (3494) |
12.8 |
| 11 APR 2000 | CONF | Morecambe (3448) |
5 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3381) |
12.6 |
| 17 AUG 1999 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3450) |
0 - 0 | Morecambe (3380) |
3.8 |
| 2 JAN 1999 | CONF | Morecambe (3424) |
3 - 1 | Northwich Victoria (3423) |
12.1 |
| 26 DEC 1998 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3414) |
1 - 1 | Morecambe (3427) |
1.5 |
| 11 APR 1998 | CONF | Morecambe (3433) |
3 - 1 | Northwich Victoria (3422) |
11.8 |
| 14 MAR 1998 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3381) |
5 - 0 | Morecambe (3452) |
20.4 |
| 28 DEC 1996 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3445) |
1 - 0 | Morecambe (3462) |
8.6 |
| 2 OCT 1996 | CONF | Morecambe (3426) |
2 - 0 | Northwich Victoria (3412) |
11.6 |
| 20 FEB 1996 | CONF | Morecambe (3385) |
2 - 2 | Northwich Victoria (3391) |
1.8 |
| 28 AUG 1995 | CONF | Northwich Victoria (3383) |
2 - 1 | Morecambe (3383) |
8.1 |